Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 34.805580 37.629539 40.739266 44.450856 48.805629 53.812405 60.094686
2025-10-12 30.473852 34.122532 38.412697 43.939427 51.047277 60.159734 73.253850
2025-10-19 28.339606 32.456971 37.512281 44.380182 53.835324 67.063919 88.508603
2025-10-26 27.199386 31.756470 37.566185 45.848395 58.016436 76.632104 111.221185
2025-11-02 25.853386 30.604931 36.831077 46.035416 60.270227 83.747990 133.286046
2025-11-09 24.136216 28.801978 35.014820 44.401877 59.388019 85.341635 145.249528
2025-11-16 22.656721 27.203920 33.334923 42.758861 58.194127 86.036158 155.651275
2025-11-23 22.135803 26.857174 33.359836 43.657664 61.312614 95.669535 196.840632
2025-11-30 21.382322 26.133076 32.775215 43.522484 62.584026 101.946384 235.809581
2025-12-07 20.589269 25.304196 31.972626 42.944577 62.938179 106.311121 274.809058
2025-12-14 19.418719 23.886913 30.218121 40.663565 59.782507 101.602634 267.972862
2025-12-21 18.900229 23.375497 29.788806 40.547632 60.791327 107.462989 325.817603
2025-12-28 18.841757 23.625067 30.680791 43.045475 68.125647 135.621894 739.486270
2026-01-04 18.077588 22.814273 29.898324 42.581022 69.313844 147.775242 1420.776660
2026-01-11 17.582631 22.363015 29.632885 42.996149 72.577280 170.420261 15357.681960
2026-01-18 17.321225 22.240016 29.875409 44.383523 78.628918 213.596382 NaN
2026-01-25 16.860638 21.781383 29.522620 44.560073 81.672154 249.427355 NaN
2026-02-01 16.141405 20.886266 28.377587 43.016803 79.594206 251.788826 NaN
2026-02-08 15.471397 20.041059 27.273035 41.462137 77.211182 250.314162 NaN
2026-02-15 15.251267 19.887800 27.334321 42.312913 82.105305 316.375618 NaN
2026-02-22 14.889754 19.493367 26.952378 42.185003 84.021883 367.310269 NaN
2026-03-01 14.488309 19.018439 26.402220 41.637990 84.466916 407.405366 NaN
2026-03-08 13.863484 18.166934 25.154304 39.475915 79.132469 357.696720 NaN